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group_modelling:goodnessoffit [2009/03/27 11:58]
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group_modelling:goodnessoffit [2009/03/27 12:09]
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 Calibration of cellular automata or agent-based models is not a trivial task as parameters influence is in most cases non-linear and often the number of parameters is high, making comprehensive evaluation of all combinations unfeasible. Simple approaches like by Clarke et al. (1998) generate lots of simulations to be evaluated by the user, they consider interactive visualization as an important tool. Multi-resolution search of the parameter space as described in Candau (2002) may help to detect important parameter combinations and subsequently to adjust them with feasible computational effort. Still users may not find the most influential parameter combinations. This task was addressed by Miller (1998) who used several robust optimization algorithms to investigate the parameter space. Wu (2002) ​ uses the data to fit a prior distribution to the parameters and updates it according to the results of Monte Carlo simulations for calibrating a cellular automata model. Calibration of cellular automata or agent-based models is not a trivial task as parameters influence is in most cases non-linear and often the number of parameters is high, making comprehensive evaluation of all combinations unfeasible. Simple approaches like by Clarke et al. (1998) generate lots of simulations to be evaluated by the user, they consider interactive visualization as an important tool. Multi-resolution search of the parameter space as described in Candau (2002) may help to detect important parameter combinations and subsequently to adjust them with feasible computational effort. Still users may not find the most influential parameter combinations. This task was addressed by Miller (1998) who used several robust optimization algorithms to investigate the parameter space. Wu (2002) ​ uses the data to fit a prior distribution to the parameters and updates it according to the results of Monte Carlo simulations for calibrating a cellular automata model.
  
-The diversity of LUCC models may require different calibration and validation methods. An overview over current ​multi-agent ​models is given by Parker et al. (2003).+The diversity of LUCC models may require different calibration and validation methods. An overview over current ​LUCC models is given by Agarwal et al. whereas ​Parker et al. (2003) ​focus on multi-agent models.
  
 =====Topics of the proposed Thesis and Questions to be answered in each work package===== =====Topics of the proposed Thesis and Questions to be answered in each work package=====
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 ===== References ===== ===== References =====
 +AGARWAL, CH.; GREEN, G. M.; GROVE, J. M.; EVANS, T. P. & SCHWEIK, CH. M. [[http://​hero.geog.psu.edu/​archives/​AgarwalEtALInPress.pdf | A Review and Assessment of Land-Use Change Models Dynamics of Space, Time, and Human Choice]]. CIPEC Collaborative Report Series No. 1.
 +
 C. M. ALMEIDA, A. M. V. MONTEIRO, G. CAMARA, B. S. SOARES-FILHO,​ G. C. CERQUEIRA, C. L.pENNACHIN,​ M. BATTY. {{http://​www.dpi.inpe.br/​gilberto/​papers/​claudia_ijrs.pdf|GIS and remote sensing as tools for the simulation of urban land-use change}} International Journal of Remote Sensing Vol. 26, No. 4, 20 February 2005, 759–774 C. M. ALMEIDA, A. M. V. MONTEIRO, G. CAMARA, B. S. SOARES-FILHO,​ G. C. CERQUEIRA, C. L.pENNACHIN,​ M. BATTY. {{http://​www.dpi.inpe.br/​gilberto/​papers/​claudia_ijrs.pdf|GIS and remote sensing as tools for the simulation of urban land-use change}} International Journal of Remote Sensing Vol. 26, No. 4, 20 February 2005, 759–774
  

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