Divisão de Observação da Terra e Geoinformática

Essa página está em modo somente de leitura. Você pode visualizar a fonte, mas não alterá-la. Informe-se com o administrador do Wiki, caso você ache que isso está incorreto.

====== Prediction: Science, Decision Making, and the Future of Nature ======

{{  http://www.leg.ufpr.br/~pedro/figures/prediction.jpg}}

====Is this number your liking? Water quality Predictions in Mining Impact Studies====

The appropriate use of water quality models is important because predictions generated by the models
are being used to justify federal and state approval of massive projects, implying that we truly
know what the future water quality impacts will be.

In this chapter, I argue that the cause of overly optimistic scenarios lies not in the science, but
rather in the economic and political pressures placed on technical consultants and the government
managers, which lead them to use inadequate models and to misuse their predictive results.

The models give the public a false sense of certainty. There was no discussion on the uncertainty
in these predictions. "This is //truth//." But indeed they were oversimplified models with false
assumptions.