Diferenças

Aqui você vê as diferenças entre duas revisões dessa página.

--- ser301-2011:wiki_atualmente [2011/09/30 22:39] – leonardo
+++ ser301-2011:wiki_atualmente [2012/12/14 13:22] (atual) – leonardo
@@ Linha 1: / Linha 1: @@
+===== O que estou fazendo atualmente? =====
-==== O que estou fazendo atualmente? ====
+Estou lendo esses dois artigos:
-Os dados que uso, da epidemia de 1995 em Salvador, estão discutidos nesse artigo: http://www.biomedcentral.com/content/pdf/1471-2458-8-51.pdf
+. Castillo-Chavez, C. et al. (2003). "Scaling laws for the movement of people between locations in a large city". Physical Review E 68, 066102.  {{:ser301-2011:leonardo_scaling_laws_for_the_movement_of_people_between_locations_in_a_large_city.pdf}}
-Essa epidemia é interessante para modelagem pq foi a 1ª da cidade, logo todos eram suscetíveis, e se sabe que foi um único sorotipo circulante (DEN 2) e que não houve nenhum tipo de controle vetorial.
+. Wong, L. et al. (2010). "Weighted complex network analysis of travel routes on the Singapore public transportation system. Physica A 389, 5852–5863.  {{:ser301-2011:leonardo_weighted_complex_network_analysis_of_travel_routes_on_the_singapore.pdf}}
-Abaixo alguns tópicos do artigo, visando já o que será mais importante para nós:
-=== Tópicos do artigo ===
-  * Setores censitários de acordo com essa referência: http://www.ibge.gov.br/home/estatistica/populacao/default_censo_1996.shtm
-  * Área: 313 km^2
-  * Temperatura de 21 a 37°C (média: 25.3°C)
-  * Latitude 12° 55' 34" sul e longitude 38° 31' 12" oeste
-  * População: 2.300.000 habitantes. Densidade populacional de 7.35 habitantes por m^2.
-  * 74% dos casos poderam ser georeferenciados
-The map also highlights many geographically large
-census areas in the region of the lower city in which the
-incidence of the disease was high, particularly in the Itapagipe gipe peninsula, the historical center of the city and other
-neighboring areas, as well as densely-populated districts
-in the center of the city such as Liberdade, São Caetano and
-IAPI. On the Atlantic coast, there is an area containing
-many shantytowns that extends from the Rio Vermelho section
-of Vale das Pedrinhas to the northeastern part of Amaralina,
-which, albeit small, has similar characteristics of
-high numbers of cases and dense population. Between
-these two regions in which the concentration of cases is
-high, there is another area (Brotas), which is at a slightly
-higher altitude but in which the same high incidence of
-dengue cases was found. All three of these areas are
-densely populated and they form a band cutting through
-the city from west to east, within which most of the census
-areas registered between 17 and 166 cases (Figures 1 and
-).
-In contrast, the southern tip of the city, which is the zone
-in which the population with the highest socioeconomic
-power lives and which includes the districts of Vitória,
-Graça (26), Garcia, Barris (24), Barra and Ondina (29),
-among others, fewer notifications were registered (in the
-range of 0–5 cases per census area).
-Between the districts of the suburban railroad station and
-the airport and Itapuã, i.e. the entire northern region of
-Salvador, a pattern was found that was midway between
-the two types described above, with most census areas
-reporting between 6 and 16 cases. In addition, there were
-some census areas in various regions of the city in which
-no cases were registered. These were generally areas with
-few inhabitants or none at all such as, for example, Pituaçu
-Park, the airport/Stella Maris area, Abaeté Park (Itapuã),
-the City Park (Pituba-36) and Canabrava (Salvador's
-former garbage dump), among others (Figures 1 and 3).
-The first two cases of dengue notified
-in Salvador occurred in the first epidemiological week of
-, and these were recorded in two neighboring census
-areas located in the district of Pernambués. During the following
-two weeks, five cases emerged in four geographically
-distant districts.
-From then until
-week 23, new areas of the city gradually started to be
-affected, although a concentration of cases continued to be observed in Itapagipe. This spread was most intense
-towards the west (Baía de Todos os Santos), the east coast
-and the southern tip of the city. Nonetheless, some cases
-were also recorded in other areas of the northern part of
-the city during this period.
-In week 31, there was a great dispersion
-in notifications, although the number of cases was
-relatively small (81).
-The clear influence of the Itapagipe peninsula on the
-spread of cases of dengue to almost the entire urban area
-of Salvador may be seen from the centrifugal waves radiating
-from that area during almost all of these epidemiological
-weeks of 1995, and from the high numbers of new
-cases of the virus, corresponding to more than one-third
-of all the notifications registered throughout the city.
-Garbage collection
-and the supply of water for human consumption
-continue to be insufficient in Alagados [27], thereby providing
-ideal conditions for the proliferation of many species
-of mosquitoes, particularly Aedes aegypti [31]. These
-factors must have contributed towards making the district
-of Alagados and the Itapagipe peninsula the epicenter of
-this re-emergent disease and of vector transmission,
-thereby reproducing a disease pattern similar to those found in the past; however, in a different situation and of
-different magnitude.
+E rodando novamente a rede para o estudo de OD da RMRJ (baseado no artigo do worcap: {{:ser301-2011:leonardo_worcap2012.pdf}}). Queria levar um resultado bom para discutir com o Flávio no final de janeiro.